ME at the Margins: Average Marginal Effects, Marginal Effects at the Mean, and margins in Stata

ME at the Margins: Average Marginal Effects, Marginal Effects at the Mean, and margins in Stata 1

Stata’s margins command can be a bit confusing Stata’s margins is a postestimation command which does all sorts of amazing things. Margins is incredibly powerful, and the accompanying marginsplot command nearly always does just the right thing. Margins and marginsplot have almost singlehandedly changed the way people interpret the way model estimates (particularly estimates from…

May is the new April: the Spring 2025 update of the radical right bibliography

May is the new April: the Spring 2025 update of the radical right bibliography 5

Life is full of unforeseen, yet entirely predictable obstacles: over-committing, over-optimism, and yes, occasionally, over-indulgence. As a result, this year’s spring edition of the Eclectic, Erratic Bibliography on the Extreme Right (in (Western) Europe)™ is late, but here it comes. With 180 new titles, this is the second-biggest update ever, which just goes to show…

What Germany can learn from others in dealing with the AfD

A group of people standing around each other holding signs

The AfD doubled its vote share in Germany’s 2025 federal election, achieving dominance in eastern states with over 30% of votes but also making significant gains in the west. Its success stems from mobilizing non-voters, attracting disaffected voters from other parties, and exploiting migration fears. Despite this, its extremist stance remains polarizing. Germany’s democratic parties still have a chance to stem the tide, but they must act now.

Friday Fun

I have the rare privilege of a job with very flexible working conditions, and I always loved working from home. Pre-pandemic and post-nursery, I wouldn’t normally come in on more than three, maybe four days per week. However, the pandemic had a lasting effect on my working habits. I developed a strange longing for my…