With just six months to go until the 2017 Bundestag election, this is perhaps the ideal time to reflect on the rather remarkable 2013 election. Perhaps there is also a very fine line between Political Science and Contemporary History, and the German electoral studies community has a particular gift to step exactly on that line…
With just under seven months to go until the German federal election, I have recently begun once more to pool the pre-election polls from seven major survey firms. Since January, when the date for the election was set and the Spitzenkandidaten were selected, results from 35 polls with a median sample size of about 1900…
It’s that time of the electoral cycle again: With just under seven months to go until the federal election in September, I feel the urge to pool the German pre-election polls. I’ve burnt my fingers four years ago when I was pretty (though not 100%) sure that the FDP would clear the five per cent…
The Herald of Scotland ran a feature on Germany’s Far Right and its relationship with (Neo-)Nazism, with some input from me. [contentcards url="http://www.heraldscotland.com/news/15134407.Shadow_of_Nazism_hangs_over_Germany__39_s_resurgent_far_right/"]
I had another chat with Jose Fialho Gouveia that contributed to an article on the possible restarting of the French-German integration motor. Here is the article (in Portuguese). [contentcards url="http://www.dn.pt/mundo/interior/com-macron-e-schulz-de-mao-dada-ue-pode-reencontrar-motor-historico-5687961.html"]
Seven months before the election, what’s up with the Alternative für Deutschland? I’ve kept repeating this since the Alternative für Deutschland’s ascendancy in the polls began in late 2015: the AfD’s electoral popularity depends on a) steering away from open right-wing extremism, which has frustrated previous attempts to establish a right-wing populist party in Germany, and…
Warum ich glaube, daß die Kandidatur von Martin Schulz keine Gamechanger ist: Mit ZeitOnline habe ich darüber gesprochen [contentcards url="http://www.zeit.de/politik/deutschland/2017-02/spd-martin-schulz-bundestagswahl-2017-interview"]
Germany’s top court does not ban the right-wing extremist NPD, because it deems the party irrelevant by now On the apparent madness in the White House: A Strategic Lens Won’t Bring Trump into Focus, So Let’s Give Psychology a Shot (Honest Graft) A rather different view on Trump: Trump’s lies as a rational choice (Fully…
Does the European Radical Right present a united front vis-a-vis the European Union, and is there a Trump effect that could further the cause of the Radical Right in Europe? I don’t think so (and here is an automated English translation). [contentcards url="http://www.dn.pt/mundo/interior/ue-debaixo-de-fogo-dentro-de-casa-no-ano-do-vai-ou-racha-5637863.html"]
Whilst reviewing something, I may have spotted the exact point in time when Political Theory jumped the shark.