Political Science’s Not Dead. Nor is forecasting

With the vote mostly counted in the US, PS have posted a useful summary of the Political Science Forecasting Models for that infamous election.

How Accurate Were the Political Science Forecasts of the 2016 Presidential Election? -

by James E. Campbell, Guest Columnist Sabato’s Crystal Ball, University of Virginia Center for Politics With the dust settling from one of the most brutal and nasty presidential campaigns in modern American history and with [...]

www.politicalsciencenow.com

By and large, and in neat contrast to the current fad for self-flagellation, the augurs of the discipline have done well. Eight of the ten predictions that were published in PS got the winner of the popular vote right. Not that it would make a difference. Somewhat ironically, Norpoth’s Primary Model that I had (incorrectly) credited  on that gloomy Wednesday morning with predicting a Trump victory performed worst.  But in fairness to HN, his model has by far the longest lead.

Related posts:

Sports Cars, Sleaze and Gamma Rays: Rhineland-Palatinate Elects Its FirstRed-Green Government ECPR Joint Sessions 2013 have a Facebook Fanpage Research Methods & Sociology of Knowledge Brexit : What I learned from watching BBC News for 48 hours straight