Library of Electoral Behaviour Vol. 3: Forecasting and Electoral Context
Forecasting and Electoral Context
Reif, Karlheinz, and Hermann Schmitt. "Nine National Second-Order Elections: A Systematic Framework for the Analysis of European Elections Results." European Journal of Political Research 8 (1980): 3-44.
Jackman, R. and R. Miller (1995) ‘Voter turnout in the industrial democracies during the 1980s’, Comparative Political Studies, 27: 467-492.
Leighley, J. and J. Nagler (1992) ‘Individual and systemic influences on turnout: who votes?’, Journal of Politics, 54: 718-740.
van der Eijk, C., M. Franklin and M. Marsh (1996). “What voters teach us about Europe-wide elections: what Europe-wide elections teach us about voters” in Electoral Studies, vol. 15 no.2: 149-66.
Mueller, J. (1970) ‘Presidential popularity from Truman to Johnson’, American Political Science Review, 64: 18-34.
Kramer, G. (1971) ‘Short-term fluctuations in US voting behaviour, 1896-1964’, American Political Science Review, 65: 131-143.
Nannestad, Peter, and Martin Paldam. "The Vp-Function - a Survey of the Literature on Vote and Popularity Functions after 25 Years." Public Choice 79, no. 3-4 (1994): 213-45.
Lewis-Beck, M. (1997) ‘Who’s the chef? Economic voting under a dual executive’, European Journal of Political Research, 31: 315-325.
Conover, P. and S. Feldman (1986) ‘Emotional reactions to the economy: I’m mad as hell and I’m not going to take it anymore’, American Journal of Political Science, 30: 50-78.
Powell, G. B. and G. Whitten (1993) ‘A cross-national analysis of economic voting: taking account of the political context’, American Journal of Political Science, 37: 391-414.
Sanders, D. (2000) ‘The real economy and the perceived economy in popularity functions: how much do voters need to know? A study of British data, 1974–97’, Electoral Studies, 19: 275-294.
Evans, G. and R. Andersen (2006) ‘The political conditioning of economic perceptions,’ Journal of Politics, 68: 194-207..
Gelman, Andrew and King, Gary: Why are American Presidential Election Campaigns Polls so Variable when Votes are so predictable, in: APSR 1993 409-451
Krosnick, J. and D. Kinder (1990) ‘Altering the foundations of support for the President through priming’, American Political Science Review, 84: 497-512.
Ansolabehere, S., S. Iyengar, A. Simon and N. Valentino (1994) ‘Does attack advertising demobilize the electorate’, American Political Science Review, 88: 829-838.
Bartels, L. (1993) ‘Messages received: the political impact of media exposure’, American Political Science Review, 87: 267-285.
MacKuen, Michael, and Courtney Brown. "Political Context and Attitude Change." The American Political Science Review 81, no. 2 (1987): 471-90.