21.37: I’ve written a quick summary of the elections. Calling it a day now.
21.35: The Greens are probably in in Rheinland-Pfalz and Sachsen-Anhalt. The FDP is probably out in Sachsen-Anhalt but in the other states.
20.49: Nice graphical summary of the scale of the shift
20.39: Lest we forget: The Liberals are back in the game (though it’s not quite clear if they are back in parliament in S-A)
20.12: New batch of estimates, but no major changes. Greens strongest party in Baden-Württemberg, still not sure that they have inched past the five-percent threshold in Rheinland-Pfalz and Sachsen-Anhalt
20.01: Estimates settling on equilibria. Excellent overview here (in German, but you’ll get the point, just click the top three links)
19.58: NPD chairman comments on AfD success: bemoans “vacuum cleaner effect”, congratulates nonetheless
19.30: And in Sachsen-Anhalt
19.29: Same in Rheinland-Pfalz
19.27: New data for Baden-Württemberg confirm previous estimates
19.21: Next coalition in Sachsen-Anhalt could be CDU-SPD-Greens. If the Greens are in
19.20: The dust is slowly settling. Amazing how fast these pesky Germans count. Eat your heart out, Britain
19.17: Which means that so-called Grand Coalition is no longer viable
19.15: New data for Sachsen-Anhalt: AfD 24.2. Second strongest party, not much less than CDU
19.08: New data for Rheinland-Pfalz: Greens exactly at threshold (5pct). AfD at 12.5%
19.05: New data for Baden-Württemberg puts AfD at 14.9, SPD at 12.8
19:00: To state the obvious: massively increased volatility. And higher turnout.
18.57: Infratest/Dimap puts AfD in Baden-Württemberg ahead of SPD
18.51: SPD in Rheinland-Pfalz and Greens in Baden-Württemberg – personal parties?
18.34: AfD in Baden-Württemberg 12.5%, 10.2% in Rheinland-Pfalz
18.29: Greens in Baden-Württemberg 5 pct points ahead of CDU. History being made.
18.27: Exit poll recall for Sachsen-Anhalt: 40% of AfD voters former non-voters. Use with caution
18.05: Exit Polls: Incumbents bounce back, but existing coalitions unlikely to continue due to strong AfD
17.58: State elections in three major hypthenated German states: Baden-Württemberg, Rheinland-Pfalz, Sachsen-Anhalt. Polls close in 90 seconds