Analysis of Voting Figures in the 2009 Iranian Presidential Election

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Chatham House and the Institute of Iranian Studies at St. Andrews have published a preliminary analysis of the recent election in Iran. The paper (though it is based on official stats) suggests that the election was indeed rigged to a considerable degree. Here is the complete analysis of the Iranian Presidential Election 2009.

p.s. Just discovered that Ahmadinejad has his own blog. The world must surely be coming to an end. Then again, it has not been updated since 2007.

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3 Comments »»

  1. The Iranian election undoubtedly rigged | Nachspiel at Polemarchus'#

    Pingback – 25. June 2009 – 10:01 am

    [...] Hat tip to Kai Arzheimer for posting on this report. [...]

  2. sbg – #

    Comment – 03. July 2009 – 8:25 pm

    Thanks for pointing to the Chatham House report.

    In case you haven't come across his analyses yet: Walter Mebane ran an interesting series of statistics on the election results using Benford's law (http://www-personal.umich.edu/~wmebane/note14jun2...

    But see Nate Silver's et al. critique on the use of Benford's law at http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/search/label/iran.

  3. kai#

    Comment – 14. July 2009 – 10:19 pm

    Thanks a lot for that sbg. 538 has accumulated a wealth of comments and analysis on that election. One tiny thing: there was a typo (surplus full stop) in the URL, so it should read http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/search/label/iran

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